On December 14 2017 a total of 93 seats - north Gujarat (fifty three seats) followed by using important Gujarat (forty seats) visit the polls in Phase 2 of the assembly elections. Let s take a look again at how the BJP has fared in these areas in the past to recognize what to anticipate this time. Two historical milestones characterize this area. Mehsana in north Gujarat changed into the handiest Lok Sabha seat that the BJP received on its personal inside the 1984 Lok Sabha polls. Central Gujarat had delivered one of the most lovely verdicts publish polarization in 2002 37 on forty one for the BJP. The Gujarat riots definitely had their hinterland spreading some distance and huge deep into pockets of north and valuable Gujarat - pre delimitation those areas had ninety five seats prepare. Of these ninety five the BJP won seventy three in 2002 a strike rate of seventy five% in which barring some tribal wallet in North Gujarat the complete populace voted BJP
http://celebrate.mywedding.com/backlinks with their feet. In 2007 the BJP persisted its sweep of north Gujarat with almost a similar vote percentage as in 2002 (fifty two.4%) but its sway over primary Gujarat decreased considerably with the tempers cooling down. The fact that the son of the north Gujarat Modi changed into looking for re-election after a entire 5 year time period led to the non-tribal and rural regions of north Gujarat giving a thumbs up to Modi - 26 seats then. The BJP gained 24 out of 26 such seats. North and principal Gujarat put together gave the BJP fifty six seats that point almost explaining most of the loss that the BJP suffered in terms of seats between 2002 and 2007. Victory margin in north Gujarat in 2012 elections Victory margin in valuable Gujarat in 2012 elections Explore Gujarat Elections Results Hub to insights into the mindset of the Gujarat voter. Why is nowadays a assignment? A heightened GPP marketing campaign in 2012 at the side of the consolidation of Bharat Sinh Solanki and Shankarsinh Vaghela brought about the BJP plateauing in 2012 winning 52 seats right here out of the ninety three at stake publish delimitation. However the satan lay inside the information. If you bar the urban seats of Phase 2 there had been 54 rural seats (along with tribal) at stake In 2012 the BJP received less than half most effective 23 while the Congress with its then best friend the NCP won 31. That explains why a touch anti-incumbency ought to spell doom for the BJP in this election. In terms of vote proportion in rural areas of Phase 2 the BJP became just 0.2 % beforehand of the Congress birthday celebration polling forty three.1% of votes vs 42.9% of the Congress. Of the 17 assembly segments that the Congress led in Gujarat inside the 2014 Lok Sabha polls 12 have been within the section two districts. Many of those districts are domestic territory to Hardik Patel (Mhesana being the epicentre) besides Alpesh and Jignesh contesting from their respective seats in north Gujarat. Clearly the flip of occasions demanding situations the BJP to provide you with that many more revolutionary strategies to halt the Congress in its tracks. It should be remembered that the cradle districts of logo Amul - Kheda and Anand have usually been Congress strongholds. Much like the Sugar barons of Maharashtra the BJP has provide you with Milk barons to contest seats. There are a total of 21 meeting seats right here that can be prompted by using presidents of milk cooperatives. Of the 21 such key contests handiest 3 of them are contesting on Congress tickets maximum others on BJP tickets. Since 2012 no much less than 15 non BJP leaders have moved over to the BJP and acquired BJP tickets to contest elections of these 9 are in Phase 2 seats. In the remote north eastern tribal swaths of the kingdom the BJP is experimenting with say an IPS officer PC Baranda to contest in his local meeting seat to wrest a long held Congress stronghold. In many approaches that is a new socio-monetary phase that the BJP is attempting to appropriate--antique entrenched Kshatriya Congressmen Dairy Barons and new tribal leaders. Key contests in this segment will decide whether the BJP keeps its tally of one hundred fifteen or threatens to slide into the gray zone around 100. If it does it will be one more milestone in the BJP s journey of social engineering albeit of a brand new type and now not the only primarily based on religious identification by myself. Jai Mrug is director VotersMood Research (VMR).
RADHANPUR/PATAN (GUJARAT): The country highways are clean but the journeys are lengthy and onerous for the youths some underpaid some jobless and maximum searching out a higher existence. So they take refuge in their reasonably-priced China-made smartphones basically encased in plastic shutting themselves off from their problems plunging themselves into the virtual world. The occasional chuckle from the youngsters and the sound leaking from ear plugs supply some trace about the supply of leisure - frequently video clips of Bollywood flicks nearby albums or comedy clips. Prince Parmar is on one such bus journeying to Gandhidham a town in Kutch district from Patan city. The 23-yr-antique son of a landless farmer works as a supervisor in a clothes employer in Gandhidham for a meagre income of Rs 10 000 in line with month. And they deduct half the income if you take even three days off Parmar a Dalit says. While sharing his angst and frustration Parmar abruptly asks this reporter How a great deal do you earn? What did you observe? As Gujarat prepares to vote in the 2d and last section of the election on December 14 Parmar s query takes on introduced import reflecting now not simply the many issues of children in the kingdom but additionally sending out a message for parties competing for electricity. A recurrent spotlight of a almost 550-km avenue trip throughout north Gujarat is the Gujarati youth s curiosity approximately the world of white-collar jobs and their sense of astonishment over the perks and privileges that come with it. Koradiya Wasimbhai Mehbubbhai a resident of Radhanpore s Jain Boarding locality drops in at the makeshift poll office of the Congress with two of his pals. Mehbub says he completed college and underwent vocational schooling at an ITI (Industrial Training Institute). When a neighborhood Congress employee interjects announcing he is now doing sundry jobs to eke out a dwelling the 20-year-vintage snaps. What he is pronouncing isn't always proper. I am seeking out an amazing activity Mehbub says his voice choking with affliction and a feel of shame. Later strolling closer to his shanty on the fringes of the town Mehbub narrates how occasions compelled him to cease research after high college. His father is a driver who earns Rs five 000 in line with month. Minutes later Mehbub in a way almost identical to Parmar inquires about this correspondent s job profile qualifications and income. Did they also pay you one at a time for this ride over and above the revenue? Do they have front exams for the task? Mehbub asks. En route to Patan s Sami tehsil Deepakbhai Devipujak a resident of the district s Baspa village pulls out his China-made pill to show images of devastation as a result of the July 2017 floods in his vicinity. All our standing crop was levelled by the surge of water. And until date we've got not obtained repayment for the loss regardless of numerous promises via the government he says. Deepak says he will pursue a law diploma according together with his farmer father s desire. However best reservations can make certain a government process which can comfy his future he affirms. Our caste numbers round 1.5 crore across the united states. We are indexed as Backward Castes by way of the Gujarat authorities. But we want reservations to quit the discrimination towards us and ensure our right representation within the authorities he says. The Devipujak community indexed some of the Nomadic Tribes and Denotified Tribes in Gujarat fall in the OBC category. But they have been stressful a separate quota in the 27 consistent with cent reservation for OBCs as they're too marginalised to compete with other companies. In Vadgam constituency s Chhapi village Bhawesh Kumar echoes a comparable experience of despair. The 29-12 months-antique who has finished his MA and BEd is desperately seeking a central authority job but runs a cellular repairing keep out of necessity. These voices have little presence inside the prevailing political discourse of the state saddled via raging debates on wild conspiracy theories and a heady dose of spiritual polarisation. The Patidar agitation for reservations led by using Hardik Patel contemplated comparable frustration even some of the adolescents of the landed Patel network. According to the RBI s handbook of records Gujarat s boom pushed with the aid of capital-in depth industries has not generated good enough amount of jobs and in latest years the rate of producing output has step by step fallen. Small and medium-scale companies have additionally shut keep more than ever earlier than specifically after the creation of GST and demonetisation resulting in in addition shrinking of activity possibilities data exhibits. Will Gujarat s youth make their presence felt on this election? Counting day on December 18 need to offer some answers.
Ahmedabad: HighlightsPM Modi took a seaplane experience on Sabarmati river He presented prayers at temple in Mehsana as Gujarat campaigning ends nowadays Rahul Gandhi assaults PM says distraction from key questions Prime Minister Narendra Modi took off this morning in a seaplane from the Sabarmati river in Ahmedabad and landed 35 minutes later at the Dharoi Dam approximately one hundred eighty km away. He then drove to the famous Ambaji temple in Mehsana to provide prayers as campaigning for the Gujarat assembly elections ends these days. PM Modi is now lower back in Ahmedabad.Amid some controversy over PM Modi using the single-engine seaplane - the security rule-e-book says the Prime Minister can simplest fly in dual or multi-engine aircraft - he took off from close to the Sardar Bridge connecting Ahmedabad s antique town with the more moderen elements in the west. A special jetty become constructed to facilitate the boarding.Photos confirmed PM Modi buckled in a seat within the sea plane. John Goulet the pilot who flew the seaplane stated It become a very pleasing revel in. I gave him a protection briefing. He become a excellent passenger. Sea planes are very common in many countries it ought to be famous in India additionally as you've got lakes the rivers the coastal regions. As Gujarat election campaigning ends today PM Narendra Modi drove to the Ambaji temple in Mehsana How is it that the security hints had been secure for this flight? No Z protectee is permitted to fly in a unmarried engine aircraft a great deal much less the PM of our country tweeted former Jammu
https://forum.vodafone.co.uk/t5/user/viewprofilepage/user-id/539726 and Kashmir leader minister Omar Abdullah also adding Single engine plane. Foreign pilots. Is there any protection guideline to be able to now not be thrown out today? Congress president-elect Rahul Gandhi stated the Prime Minister s seaplane ride become a distraction from key questions including that the real question is what did you do for Gujarat in 22 years. The seaplane take-off from the Sabarmati become Plan B after the PM s roadshow in Ahmedabad these days become cancelled. It is designed to attract attention to the improvement work carried out via the BJP that's in search of a 5th immediately term in energy in Gujarat in response to the Congress which has centered its marketing campaign on alleging that the Gujarat version of improvement is a fail. Amid controversy over driving the unmarried-engine seaplane - PM Modi took off from near the Sardar BridgeAs PM Modi introduced his sea-aircraft plan on Twitter on Monday nighttime he also said With air roads
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